{"id":13358,"date":"2023-08-08T15:34:25","date_gmt":"2023-08-08T15:34:25","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/latinosreadytovote.org\/?p=13358"},"modified":"2023-08-10T19:26:33","modified_gmt":"2023-08-10T19:26:33","slug":"how-hispanics-really-feel-about-trump","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/latinosreadytovote.org\/?p=13358","title":{"rendered":"How Hispanics really feel about Trump"},"content":{"rendered":"\n

by\u00a0 Stella Rouse<\/strong> and Shibley Telham<\/strong><\/em><\/p>\n\n\n

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For the first time in history, Hispanic voters are expected to be the largest minority group in the 2020 electorate, according to the Pew Research Center<\/a>.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

With his reelection on the line, it\u2019s no surprise that President Donald Trump is publicly courting Hispanics. In fact, in late January, he touted a poll<\/a> he claimed showed his support among Hispanics had risen from 19% to 50%, due to his immigration policies.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

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Wow, just heard that my poll numbers with Hispanics has gone up 19%, to 50%. That is because they know the Border issue better than anyone, and they want Security, which can only be gotten with a Wall.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\u2014 Donald J. Trump (@realDonaldTrump) January 20, 2019<\/a><\/p>\n<\/blockquote>\n\n\n\n

However, these rosy statistics are misleading, since the poll was not designed<\/a> to gauge Hispanic voters\u2019 opinions. It did not poll many Hispanics and did not ask questions in both English and Spanish.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

As researchers<\/a> who<\/a> regularly examine public opinion, we know it\u2019s a stretch to conclude that half of Hispanics approve of Trump, let alone suggest that a majority back his proposed immigration policies.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

However, given their potential electoral impact, it is important to understand how Hispanics really feel about President Trump and how their opinions vary across party lines. We have done the work to try to answer these questions.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Hispanics on Trump<\/strong><\/h2>\n\n\n\n

We analyzed the results of a University of Maryland Critical Issues Poll<\/a> fielded by Nielsen Scarborough from Oct. 24 to Nov. 16, 2018. The survey was conducted among a nationally representative sample of 600 Hispanics, and it asked questions in both English and Spanish.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Simultaneously, we also fielded a national poll of 1,300 respondents representing all Americans. That allowed us to confidently analyze Hispanics\u2019 opinions and compare them to other Americans.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Here\u2019s what we found.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

No, most Hispanic voters don\u2019t back Trump and his policies. In fact, Hispanics oppose his immigration policies in larger numbers than the rest of the population.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

For example, right before the 2018 midterm election, we asked respondents to identify the most important factor in their vote choice. Among Hispanics, the most popular choice was \u201ca vote against President Trump and his agenda,\u201d with 39% of Hispanics selecting this option, compared to 32% of non-Hispanics.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

However, Hispanic preferences do diverge across partisan lines. Over half of Hispanics who aren\u2019t Republicans said \u201ca vote against President Trump and his agenda\u201d was their main reason for voting. Conversely, 45% of Hispanic Republicans chose \u201ca vote to support President Trump and his agenda\u201d as the most important reason for their vote \u2013 a significant number, but still lower than the number of non-Hispanic Republicans who said the same.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

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